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TOPIC: Project Risk Management Help

Project Risk Management Help 5 years 4 months ago #11134

  • Nicholas Ablett
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Hello, I am working through the PMBOK and have reached section 11.4.2.2, modelling and simulation. I understand the concept of what they trying to show however, not the math. Using the data they provide and the formula for probability of the mode on a cumulative curve (c-a/b-a) I arrive to 27% instead of 12% as in the PMBOK.

Am I making a mistake with my logic?

Project Risk Management Help 5 years 4 months ago #11280

  • Steven Mudrinich, PMP
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Nick,

Don't get too far into the weeds here, there won't be any complex math required on the exam involving modeling and simulation. Simply understand the concepts and you will be fine.

- Steven
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